The Bangladesh-Pakistan vote report is in line with the 2nd line

The Bangladesh-Pakistan vote showed that the US is no longer the same

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National elections were held in Bangladesh and Pakistan within a month, and in both countries the US ultimately lost the strategic game. Because the elections and election results in both countries were beyond US strategy and position. And the defeat of US policy in Bangladesh and Pakistan is now very clear.

Analyzing the picture of the elections of these two countries in South Asia, it will be seen that the polling stations in Bangladesh were empty, and the polling stations in Pakistan had queues of voters throughout the day.

Although there is an opposite picture in terms of voter turnout, there is not much reflection of public opinion in the elections of these two countries. Most of the people of Bangladesh did not go to vote or did not feel the need to vote. One-party elections were held in Bangladesh as the opposition, including the BNP, boycotted the elections. But in Pakistan all parties had participation. The public also voted but it was alleged that the results did not reflect public opinion.

In particular, party leaders claimed that the jailed Imran Khan’s Tehreek-e-Insaf Pakistan (PTI)-backed independent candidates won the most seats (around 100) but actually won more seats. Imran Khan’s supporters have alleged rigging in various constituencies.

Jailed Imran Khan claimed in a speech using artificial intelligence, PTI won 170 seats.

The Election Commission postponed the announcement of the results until the PTI-backed candidates won on the evening of the election day. Initially, PTI leaders claimed that they are ahead in 160 seats. After that the Election Commission of Pakistan started announcing the results at a slow pace. And at this time PTI’s seats started decreasing.

Former Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s Muslim League and Asif Ali Zardari’s People’s Party continued to gain seats. In the dark of night, the election results in Pakistan have changed a lot. The Pakistani administration is trying to give a single majority to the heavily military-backed Pakistan Muslim League-N (PML-N). But no way they could pull PML-N.

China’s influence increased in this opportunity. Even Awami League, one of India’s most trusted political allies in South Asia, has been largely controlled by China. China wants to keep the Awami League in its hands by excluding the long-time ally BNP as it cannot play an effective role in politics. Here too, China has succeeded. America’s influence in South Asia is now waning and waning.
The Election Commission in Bangladesh did not have to suffer as much as the Commission in Pakistan. Voters did not besiege polling stations or election commission offices. The commission announced the results of the election soon. The conflicts we had here were limited to Awami League itself.

Such a one-sided election cannot in any way be considered a reflection of public opinion.

Apart from these events, the important significance of the elections in these two countries is the defeat of the US policy. US foreign policy has been in trouble lately. After leaving Afghanistan, Ukraine could not benefit either. Instead, it pushed Ukraine into a protracted war. The land of Ukraine is devastated. Russia occupies large areas of Ukraine.

The US is not able to facilitate the shadow war with Iran in Syria and Iraq. China’s presence and influence in the Middle East is increasing day by day. Every day, the US is losing ground to China.

In this situation, it is important for the United States to increase its influence in South Asia by consolidating its position in Bangladesh and Pakistan. But after analyzing the elections and the overall situation of the two countries, it seems that there is nothing left for the United States to have its own position in South Asia.

The pro-Chinese Mohamed Muijju has come to power in the Maldives. Pro-Chinese also have a strong position in Sri Lanka. And India and China have direct and strong support for long term rule of Bangladesh government. Bangladesh’s January 7 election must be considered a defeat for the US position.

Pakistan’s February 8 election also shows signs of waning US influence in South Asia. Imran Khan directly blamed the US for the ouster. Imran Khan visited Moscow at the beginning of the Ukraine crisis. Imran Khan was interested in conducting trade in Chinese currency. Imran Khan was gradually leaning towards Russia, China, Iran axis. Basically from here Imran Khan’s conflict with the Americans started and his ouster.

The US used Pakistan’s civil society, media, bureaucracy and military to oust Imran Khan in a natural strategy. PTI supporters believe that the army has a direct link with Imran Khan’s ouster, but the US is behind the scenes.

A strong return to Imran Khan’s election will be seen as a major defeat for US policy.

In the last two-and-a-half years, the activism of the Americans in Bangladesh was remarkable. Many important officials of the US State Department have visited Dhaka. He repeatedly spoke about free and fair elections. He tried to put pressure on Awami League in various ways. The United States has announced a visa ban on those who undermine the electoral process.

But it was seen that even with direct sanctions on some officials including RAB, the United States could not prevent the Awami League from holding elections like their own. Awami League could not be accepted by the Indo-Pacific alliance. Awami League is running the government by electing alone.

Elections in Bangladesh and election results in Pakistan marked a major defeat for US South Asia policy. The presence of queuing voters in Pakistan and our empty polling stations here throughout the day highlight the poor state of US policy.

In the case of Pakistan, the US wanted the army-backed Nawaz Sharif’s Muslim League to come to power. But there voters banded together and voted for the Imran Khan-backed candidate. And we wanted everyone here to go to the polling station. But leaving polling stations empty, Awami League went against the US’s will and elected with the support of China, Russia and India.

As a result, it is understood that the United States is not in a very advantageous position in South Asia. In most cases, the situation is going beyond what the US wants. US South Asia policy seems to be turning towards India again. That is why the US strategy has been defeated by the strategy of India and China.

The United States says that we did not have a free, fair and impartial election here. But India and China played a big role in this election. These two countries, along with Russia, took a direct stand in favor of the Awami League and they succeeded. It can be said that the US has surrendered to India’s diplomacy. And in Pakistan, the United States was defeated by China, Russia and Iran.

Outside of South Asia, US policy has also failed in our neighboring country, Myanmar. By passing the Burma Act, the United States clearly took a stand against Myanmar’s military regime. But could not build a relationship of uninterrupted trust with the rebels of Myanmar.

Rather, China’s place of trust is gradually building up with Myanmar’s rebel Brotherhood Alliance. Whatever the eventual situation in Myanmar, China is balancing relations with both the military regime and rebel groups and biding its time. China will maintain strategic relations with whoever controls Myanmar.

It seems that the United States is unable to get out of India’s dependence in South Asia. America’s long-term influence in South Asia has been reduced by its alliance with India in the war on terror. And the friendship with India has left the US behind in South Asian politics.

China’s influence increased in this opportunity. Even Awami League, one of India’s most trusted political allies in South Asia, has been largely controlled by China. China wants to keep the Awami League in its hands by excluding the long-time ally BNP as it cannot play an effective role in politics. Here too, China has succeeded. America’s influence in South Asia is now waning and waning.

Dr. Maruf Mallick is a writer and political analyst

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